StudiesonChineseModernization

Optimization Pathways for Urban Spatial Structure and Layout in the Framework of the 15th Five-Year Plan Period and the Modernization of Spatial Governance： A Perspective on Administrative Division Optimization 4

WangKaiyong and Xu Shaojie

Abstract： Administrative divisions are an essential component of the national governance system and a key institutionaltool foroptimizing spatial resource allocation and enhancing urban governance eficiency.Since the 18th National Congress of the Communist Partyof China，China has continuouslyadvanced administrative division adjustments， including optimizing the structure of urban districts， establishing new county-level cities，integrating prefecture-level administrative regions，and transforming functional zones intoadministrative districts.These measures have efectively improved urban spatial structuresand resource allcation efficiency， playing a positive role in serving national strategiesand promoting new-type urbanization.However，the currentadministrativedivision system stillfaces issues such as unreasonable size structures，functional misalignment of counties，lagging township-district transformation，and blurred boundaries between functional zones and administrative districts， which restrict governance eficiency.Drawing on international experiences，China should adhere to acombination of integrated planning and classified policy implementation，promote the modernization of the administrative division system and spatial governance capabilities，and build a multi-level spatial governance pattern that adapts to national strategies，population mobilityandregional development，providing institutionalsupportandspatial guarantees for the modernization of China.

Keywords：administrativedivision;urban spatial structure;urbanization;The15thFive-Year Plan;modernization of spatial governance

Urban Economy

New Opportunities and Strategies for the Transformation and Upgrading of Traditional Automotive Manufacturing Cities amid Industrial Transition： A Case Study of Guangzhou 19

WuXibo，WangXiangyu，andWangYixiao

Abstract： Under thenewsituationofaccelerated changes in theautomobileindustry，China's traditionalautomo bile cities need to actively seize new opportunities，acelerate the breaking of excessive dependence on joint ventures and thedomestic market，stimulate thevitalityof privateenterprises，and promote high-quality transformation and upgrading.This study takes Guangzhou as an example and systematically analyzes the new opportunities for the transformation and upgrading of the automotive industryin Guangzhou from six aspects： research and development （Ramp;D） innovation，capital structure，product types，product markets，production networks，and industrial integration. It also summarizes the experience and insights from the advanced transformation and upgrading of the automotive industry in cities such as Shanghai， Shenzhen，and Chongqing.Additionall，based on the N-HiTS model， his study forecasts the development trends of Guangzhou's automotive manufacturing industryfrom 2025 to 2030.The results show that Guangzhou's automotive industry willikely continue to facea downward trend in the short term.Toaddressthis，acomprehensive optimizationand adjustment are needed acrossix key areas，with the aim offostering a new development model driven by innovation， domestic brands，and the global market.

Keywords： automobile industry; intelligent networked vehicles （ICVs）;new energy vehicles （NEVs）; industrial transition; industrial transformation and upgrading

Regionamp;Urbanization

Characteristicsand Trends of Changes in the Scale of Rural-UrbanMigration Population in China 34 Liu Houlian and Zhang Gang

Abstract： Based on China’s rural and urban population data from 200 to 2023，this paper employs population balance and corelation analysis methods to systematically study the characteristicsand future trends of changes in thescaleof rural-urban migration population.The study finds that since the beginning of the21stcentury， the scale of rural-urban migration population in China has shown a three-stage pattern of“stability—fluctuation一decline\".The contribution of rural-urban migration population to urban population growth has significantly increased，whilethecontribution ofadministrativedivisionadjustmentshas markedlydecreased.The saleof ruralurban migration population is highly positively correlated with the growth of urbanization rates.And thus， it is projected that China's urbanization process willmaintaina decelerating trend before 2035，with a significant decline in the scale of rural-urban migration population. If the urbanization rate reaches 74%-76% by 2035， the scale of rural-urban migration population willstabilizebetween 6.83 millon and 9.49 milion.The studysuggests that effrts should be continued to promote the urbanization of agricultural transfer population and county-level urbanization，to strengthen the support and service system for population development， and to actively address social challenges such as rural depopulation，aging， and marital and family development.

Keywords： rural-urban migration; new-type urbanization; people-oriented; citizenization; public service provision

The Impact of New Quality Productive Forces on High-Quality Population Development： Empirical Evidence from 279 Prefecture-Level Citiesin China

Wang Jiating and Li Wenxuan

Abstract： The development of new quality productive forces is an inherent requirement and an important focus point for promoting high-quality development.How to empower high-quality population development through new quality productive forces and to improve the support and service system for population development are important practical propositions for realizing Chinese Modernization.Based on thepanel data of279 prefecture-level cities in China from 2011 to 2022，this paper constructs an evaluation index system for new quality productive forces from the perspective of their basic connotations.It also evaluates the status of high-quality population development in the context of new development trends，exploring the impact and mechanism of new quality productive forces on high-quality population development.The results show that： （1）New quality productive forces significantly promote high-quality population development， with technological innovation and environmental regulation positively moderating this efect， whileeducational investment plays a mediating role. （2）The promotion of high-quality population development by new quality productive forces exhibits significant regional heterogeneity insocial，geographical，andculturalaspects.（3）hereisanon-lnearimpactofewqualityproductiveforcson the promotionof high-quality population development.The study not only helps to clearly portray the theoretical logicof New Quality Productive Forces in promoting high-quality populationdevelopment，but also provides important policy references for the practice of high-quality population development in the new era.

Keywords： new quality productive forces; high-quality population development; Chinese Modernization; thresh old effect

Urban Governance

TheFinancial Provision for the Construction and the Maintenance of Urban Traffic Infrastructure： The Source of Funding 69

LiuZhi

Abstract： One of the major chalengesfor urban governments across the world is to providehigh-quality municipal ervices and transportation under severe financial constraints.This is especially true in developingcountries. Overthe past thirty years，there have been significant changes inthe global landscapeofurban transport financing. One lesson learned is that governments must actively encourage market and private sector participation in the construction，operation and maintenance of urban transport infrastructure，thereby focusing public funds on the areas tat are dificult to cover with market mechanisms. It appears that the long-term debt financing has the greatest potentialfor urban transport development. Cities should strive to establish and strengthen theirown creditworthiness，while also anticipating and preparing for the increases of maintenance expenses for large urban transport infrastructure projects.

Keywords：urban transportation systems;infrastructure financing;infrastructuremaintenance;urban finance;urban governance

System Construction and Mechanism Innovation for the Comprehensive Governance of Urban Operational Safety 84

Rong Zhi and He Bing

Abstract： Urban operational safety servesas the cornerstone of social stabilityand healthyurban development. In theface of acomplex risk environment，systematically enhancing the eficiencyof comprehensive urban operational safety management and improving the level of urban operational safety are essential for achieving high-quality urban development. Drawing on the perspective of integrated governance，this study conducts an in-depth analysis of thecurrnt status and challenges of urban operational safety governance at the macro level. By constructing a“proces-subject-path\" analytical framework， the research proposes a comprehensive management system for urban operational safety characterized byaclosed-loop process，multi-stakeholder participation，and integrated pathways.The study focuses on threekey aspects： optimizing resource alocation，strengthening collaboration and coordination，and refining integrated governance.It explores specific innovative mechanisms toenhance governance efficiency and thereby advancing the modernization of urban governance systems.

Keywords： urban operational safety; integrated governance; mechanism innovation; collaboration and coordination;resilient cities

Eco-City

Research on the Impact Mechanism of Policy Perception on People's Pro-Environmental Behavior from the Perspective of Behavioral Public Administration： Empirical Test Based on CGSS2021 Data 102

Zhu Xingyun，F(xiàn)u Chengzhe，and LiaoLiao

Abstract：Ecological civilizationconstructionisaninevitablerequirementforpromoting high-quality economic and social development.As an important part of ecological civilization construction，environmental governance has become akey area for joint participationand collaboration between the government and thepublic，with environmental policies serving asan importantlink between them.Based on the data from the2021 China General Social Survey （CGSS），this paper empirically investigates the specific mechanisms bywhich policy perception affects people'spro-environmentalbehaviors from the perspective of behavioral public management and onthe basis of the theory of civic voluntarism.The study finds that： （1） people's perception of mandatory environmental policies positivelyafects theirpro-environmentalbehaviors，in which theevaluationofefectiveness playsapositive mediating role;and （2） people's perception of facilitative environmental policies positively afects their pro-environmental behaviors，in which self-efficacy plays a positive mediating role.The study shows that the effcts and mechanismsof different typesof environmental policies onpro-environmental behaviors differsignificantlyand are affected bythe degree of refinement of policy content and the efectiveness of implementation.This paperattempts to filin the“psychological\" node in thechain of“environmental policy- pro-environmental behavior\"，in order to provide references and lessons forthe design of environmental policies that better mobilize people's enthusiasm.

Keywords： pro-environmental behavior; behavioral public management; policy perception; ecological civilization construction

A Multi-Model Study on the Theory Construction and Evaluation System of“City-Lake Symbiosis”： Based onthe Perspectiveof Symbiotic Evolution

ZhangYichi，XuXihui，andWangJiacan

Abstract： Rapidurbanization and industrialization have worsened human-water conflict，manifested through lake eutrophication，frequent flood disasters，and excessive development around lakes，making city-lake mutualistic symbiosis a critical pathway for advancing ecological civilization.This study constructs a theoreticaland evaluativeframework for“city-lake symbiosis”based onsymbiotic evolution theory，systems science theory，and Maslow's hierarchyof needsthory.Atthetheoretical level，itproposesacomplexsystemcomposedof threecore elements： symbiotic units，symbiotic environments，and symbiotic paterns，revealing an evolutionary logic of“demand-driven—interface reconstruction—pattern transition.”Atthe methodological level， it integrates the entropy weight-TOPSIS method，Lotka-Volterra model，and symbioticidealitymodel tocreate aclosed-loopevaluation framework of development measurement， patter identification，and qualityassessment. At the empirical level， using Huoqiu County （atypical smal-scalelake-type town）inLu'an Cityasacasestudy， theresearch finds thatthe city-lake relationship shifts from“unilateral lake detriment”（2010-2015）to“mutualistic symbiosis”（2016- 2023），with significantly improved symbiotic safety and steadily rising ideality scores.

Keywords： city-lakesymbiosis; mutualistic symbiosis; symbioticideality;ecologicalcivilization; collaborative governance

Research on the Assessment and Synergistic Relationship of Ecosystem Service Value of Urban BlueGreen Space： A Case Study of the Bahe and Chanhe River Corridors in Xi'an 144

LiuQianhui

Abstract： In the context of China's transition toward green development， urban blue-green spaces-comprising water bodies and green lands—play a pivotal role in maintaining urban-rural ecological equilibrium and fostering human-nature symbiosis.This paper，based on the land use dataof the Bahe and Chanhe river coridors in Xi'an in 2016 and 2021，employs the ecosystem service value equivalent factor method to quantify the ecosystem service value of urban blue-green space and analyzes the trade-offs and synergistic relationships between ecosystem service functions.It was found thatthe values of provisioning services，regulating services，supporting services and cultural services increased with the level of urban naturalization in the compound ecosystems of blue-green space in the Bahe and Chanhe river corridors.Specificaly，those with insignificant changes inservice functions are concentrated inthe higher developmentlevel of the cities，and they aremainly responsiblefor foodproduction，raw material production，climate regulation and aesthetic landscape services; while those with significant changes in service functionsare concentrated in the natural area，and they are mainly responsible for gas regulation，hydrological regulation， soil preservation and maintenance of biodiversity.

Keywords： urban blue-green space; ecosystem services; trade-offs and synergisticrelationships; urban-rural eco logical balance; ecological protection