楊日 項華春

摘要：飛機型號研制項目是一個大型復(fù)雜項目，對其管理的評價要客觀公正，傳統(tǒng)評價方法的種類有許多，主觀的、客觀的，但是飛機型號研制項目的特殊性導(dǎo)致直接使用普通單一的評價方法無法滿足綜合評價的需要。因此，本文在權(quán)衡不同評價方法的優(yōu)缺點之后，選出灰色關(guān)聯(lián)分析法和TOPSIS法，并將兩種評價方法進行融合，優(yōu)缺點互補，構(gòu)建出來適用于飛機型號研制項目管理特點的績效評價模型，以5個項目為例開展評價工作，評判優(yōu)劣并提出改進方向。

關(guān)鍵詞：項目管理;績效評價;TOPSIS法;灰色關(guān)聯(lián)分析

Performance?Evaluation?of?Aircraft?Model?Development?Project?Management?Based?on?TOPSIS?and?Grey?Relation

Yang??Ri????Xiang??Huachun

Equipment?Management?&?UAV?Engineering?College?，?Air?Force?Engineering?University???ShaanxiXian????710051

Abstract：?The?aircraft?model?development?project?is?a?large?and?complex?project，?and?the?evaluation?of?its?management?should?be?objective?and?fair.?There?are?many?kinds?of?traditional?evaluation?methods，?subjective?and?objective，?but?the?particularity?of?the?aircraft?model?development?project?leads?to?the?fact?that?the?direct?use?of?common?and?single?evaluation?methods?can?not?meet?the?needs?of?comprehensive?evaluation.?Therefore，?after?weighing?the?advantages?and?disadvantages?of?different?evaluation?methods，?this?paper?choose?the?grey?correlation?analysis?method?and?TOPSIS?method，?and?combines?the?two?evaluation?methods?to?build?a?performance?evaluation?model?suitable?for?the?characteristics?of?aircraft?model?development?project?management.?Taking?five?projects?as?examples?to?carry?out?the?evaluation?work，?judge?the?advantages?and?disadvantages?and?put?forward?the?improvement?direction.

Key?word：Project?management;Performance?evaluation;?TOPSIS;?Grey?relational?analysis

飛機型號研制項目管理績效評價過程中各種要素間相互影響，關(guān)系復(fù)雜，由于研制過程的不確定性，導(dǎo)致其中許多指標無法定量表達，并且項目管理工作涉及因素眾多，必須突出重點影響因素開展評價。采用主觀判別的方法操作簡單，其不受樣本的限制，但是又過于主觀完全依賴于專家的意見，當評價指標較多時不適用;而采用一般的統(tǒng)計分析方法，對樣本數(shù)據(jù)的質(zhì)量和數(shù)量要求較高，飛機型號研制項目管理績效評價中，數(shù)據(jù)的來源有很大一部分是專家打分，數(shù)量上也不夠多，這將直接影響到評價結(jié)果的客觀無誤性。