Yuan Peng

Jia Chunyang

Tang Xiaosong＆Jing Lina

Song Wei

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Global Transformation and New World Order

Yuan Peng

Abstract:The world is undergoing tremendous changes．Old world order has been broken and a new one is not built yet．Every Major power speculates on the construction of future global order，and each country is facing with various problems and difficulties．China has enjoyed rising international influence，at the same time，it suffers from the risk of economic slowdown．Based on historical tradition and national condition，China has its own view on world order and global system．Cooperation between countries is needed for the construction of a new world order．

World Politics，World Order，the U．S．，China's Diplomacy

The Infiltration and Expanding of IS Towards China's Surrounding Areas and Its Influences

Jia Chunyang

Abstract:The extremist ideology，political aspiration，strategy and tactics of the“Islamic State”have determined its expanding aspiration．The aim of this infiltration and expanding is mainly targeted at the Islamic World，including South Asia，Southeast Asia and Central Asia，all of which are located in China’s surrounding areas．This infiltration and expanding has critically threatened the security and stability of related regions and countries，raised the risk of nuclear terrorism faced by the entire world，and brought serious security challenges to its surrounding areas，which include China．

Keywords:“Islamic State”，China’s Surrounding Areas，Infiltration，Expanding，Influence

An Analysis on U．S．Public Diplomacy toward Myanmar

Tang Xiaosong＆Jing Lina

Abstract:Against the backdrop of U．S．Rebalance to Asia－Pacific，Myanmar has enjoyed a prominent geopolitical position．With the smooth progress of Myanmar's democratization and rapid development of Sino－Myanmar relations，the U．S．’Myanmar policy has changed its direction．The U．S．has strengthened its public diplomacy towards Myanmar．It has increased investment and budget in public diplomacy towards Myanmar，highlighted culural and educational exchanges with Myanmar and emphasized U．S．political value export to Myanmar．These U．S．policies have greatly impacted China，particularly in the future development of Sino－Myanmar Comprehensive Strategic Cooperation Partnership，the implementation of China’s surrounding security strategy and the progress of the Belt and RoadInitiative．Chinese government should build mutual trust mechanism，increase public policy budget and promote harmonization of bilateral relations with Myanmar．

Keywords:U．S．，Myanmar，Public Diplomacy，China

Introduction and Comment of the Power Transition Theory

Song Wei

Abstract:The article analyzes the paradigm，concepts and logics of the power transition theory，and points out that the core viewpoint of this theory is，after the dissatisfied great powers shorten their power gap with the dominant state through industrialization，economic and social changes，their calculations of the cost－benefit of wars to change the order will also differ，and they are very likely to challenge the existing international order by launching wars．The power transition process has two aspects:the challenger’s national power becoming stronger and the relative power between the challenger and the dominant state becoming smaller．This theory has relatively strong explanatory power when there is no nuclear deterrence and the international order is zero－sum．But this theory is also facing some difficulties，such as how to evaluate national power，the timing of the wars，and the influence of nuclear balance on power parity．Meanwhile，the theory’s logics have two shortcomings．One is taking it for granted that the strongest state is definitely the dominant state in the international order．Two，those states capable to challenge the dominant state are naturally dissatisfied with the existing international order while the nature of international orders might differ greatly．

Keywords:Power，Satisfaction，Transition，International Order

China－US Relations in Strategic Domains

Editor’s Note:Experts and scholars from the Peking University Institute for China－US People－to－People Exchange，U．S．National Bureau of Asian Research and a dozen other China and US famous think tanks have conducted in－depth strategic research covering Sino－US nuclear，outer space，network，ocean，military relations，people－to－people exchanges and completed a research report titled US－China Relations in Strategic Domains．It is coedited by Wang Dong and Travis Tanner．The report has put forward systematic analysis framework in China－US Relations in Strategic Domains．It is the most systematic and frontline research fruit in international academic and political circles．We invited editors and authors of the report to write a set of articles concerning major topics in strategic level of China－US relations．From them，we could perceive consensus as well as divergence between China and US scholars．

(Edited by Zhang Yimeng)