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        The comprehensive measure model for urban traffic congestion based on value function

        2015-05-08 02:32:34HuQizhouDengWeiSunXu
        關鍵詞:態(tài)勢路網(wǎng)排序

        Hu Qizhou Deng Wei Sun Xu

        (1School of Automation, Nanjing University of Science and Technology, Nanjing 210094, China)(2School of Transportation, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, China)(3Institute of Transportation, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China)

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        The comprehensive measure model for urban traffic congestion based on value function

        Hu Qizhou1Deng Wei2Sun Xu3

        (1School of Automation, Nanjing University of Science and Technology, Nanjing 210094, China)(2School of Transportation, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, China)(3Institute of Transportation, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China)

        According to the distribution characteristics of traffic congestion in time and space, a measure index system of urban traffic congestion is set up based on the spatial and temporal distribution. Based on the analysis of the main characteristics of traffic congestion and the generation process of traffic congestion, the measure model for urban traffic congestion is constructed by the value function. Moreover, based on the measure values of traffic congestion in urban road networks with defined different levels, a method to prevent and control traffic congestion is designed. The application results confirm that the proposed method is feasible in comprehensive measures for urban traffic congestion and they are consistent with the results of other methods. The measuring results can therefore reflect the actual situation. The comprehensive measure model is scientific and the process is simple, and it has wide application prospects and practical value.

        urban traffic; congestion; measure matrix; value function

        The urban traffic congestion problem has become a global issue and it impacts normal urban functioning and sustainable development. Recently, scholars both domestic and abroad have done much research on it[1-7]. Developed countries began to study congestion indices since the 1950s[8]. Hwang[9]built the congestion indices in some cities, but he did not compare them when congestion occurred in different places or times[9]. Jabari et al.[10]compared the indices based on time, and they discussed the influences of various indices on congestion quantification. Also, from the perspective of the traveler, Schmidt-Daffy[11]designed congestion classification based on the time parameters and he put forward the concept of time reliability which means that travel time changes; moreover, he carried out an analysis with the collected data. He also proposed new principles of congestion evaluation, namely using a real-time evaluation method instead of a computer model. Besides, Bagdadi[12]proposed an evaluation index system for urban road traffic congestion. However, some measurements cannot be obtained easily. To remove these deficiencies, an efficient and systematic approach is required. Therefore, this paper proposes a determination model to reduce the occurrence of urban traffic congestion based on the value function.

        1 Measurement Index System for Urban Traffic Congestion

        The selection of the measure index directly affects the measure results. In order to make the measure conclusions more objective, comprehensive and scientific, there are some principles for choosing the indices, for example, maturity, objectivity, operability and comparability and so on. Based on the comprehensive analysis, the measure index system for urban traffic congestion is proposed (see Fig.1). In Fig.1,I1is the saturation;I2is the queue length;I3is the average delay;I4is the queuing duration;I5is the average travel speed;I6is the average stop number;I7is the vehicle hours of travel;I8is the lane occupancy;I9is the mobility index;I10is the con-gestion roadway;I11is the level of service; andI12is the congestion index.

        Fig.1 The measure index system for urban traffic congestion

        2 Comprehensive Measure Model for Urban Traffic Congestion

        2.1 The basic principle of the value function

        The value function is a flexible and practical method proposed by operation researchers in the early 1970s for decision making science[12]. The main characteristic of this method is that it combines qualitative with quantitative methods in the decision making process. In this paper, we assume thatAis the attribute set,Gis the index set,dijis the measure value about attributeAiunder the indexIj, then the decision matrix isD={dij}. According to the characteristics of the urban traffic system, we combine the value functions to measure urban traffic congestion. Assume that the value functionfIj(dij) of the measurement indexIjis

        fIj(dij)=0.5efj(dij)

        (1)

        wherefj(dij) is the measure function about the measurement indexIj, andfj(dij) ∈[0, 1].

        Therefore, the value function of urban traffic congestion is defined as

        (2)

        wherewjis the weight coefficient of the measurement indexIj.

        2.2 The value function of urban traffic congestion

        In order to reflect reality as much as possible, this paper deals with the data of measure value by the principles of standardization and normalization. Then, we defineJ+as the benefit-type indicators such asI5,I9,I11set,J-is the cost-type indicators such asI1,I2,I3,I4,I6,I7,I10set, andJfixis the fixing-type indictors such asI8,I12set. Definerjas the fixing-type indicator value, andIj∈Jfix. Then, the standardization function of urban traffic congestionfj(dij) is

        (3)

        Thevaluefunctionforurbantrafficcongestionisunique.Also,thevaluefunctionfIj(dij) is written as

        (4)

        2.3 The weight coefficient of the measure index

        The weight coefficient of urban measurement indicatorsIjis

        (5)

        2.4Thecomprehensivemeasurementlevelofurbantrafficcongestion

        ThecomprehensivevalueU(Ai) of traffic congestion represents different traffic situations and congestion degrees. The greater the comprehensive valueU(Ai), the worse the road conditions, and the greater the congestion degree. On the contrary, the better the road network, the less the congestion. Congestion levels are classified into five groups based on the calculated values (see Tab.1).

        Tab.1 The congestion levels determined by interval value

        The comprehensive measurementU(Ai) can reflect the congestion degree and the travelers’ acceptance of traffic congestion. The comprehensive measurementU(Ai) belongs to the congestion level, and we can determine the degree of risk of urban traffic congestion. In order to prevent accidents, we should control traffic congestion earlier.

        3 Example Analysis

        The discrepancy between traffic supply and demand in many cities has been increasingly prominent and it has become an urgent problem to be solved. According to the constructed measurement models, this paper chooses three types of cities in China to study urban congestion. In September, 2013, we tracked the measure cities (City A1, City A2, City A3) for a week and we collected much effective data. The inspection values are shown in Tab.2.

        Tab.2 The inspection values of the measurement indicators

        The calculation process is presented as follows:

        Step 1 The weight coefficient of the measurement indicators can be determined by Eq.(5).

        W={0.0831,0.0837,0.0833,0.0837,0.0835,0.0836,0.0829,0.0837,0.0828,0.0838,0.0831,0.0835}

        Step 2 We can obtain the values of urban traffic congestion, such asx1,x2,x3.

        Step 3 The comprehensive measurement value of urban traffic congestion is determined by Eq.(1).

        U(A1)=0.311 2,U(2)=0.310 5,U(A3)=0.301 7

        Step 4 We can obtain the value of the urban congestion regarding City A1, City A2, City A3. Moreover, they all belong to the 3rd congestion level; that is the congestion degree which is “slightly congested”, which shows that the measure result may reflect the situation of traffic congestion accurately. According to the exponential valueU(Ai) of the comprehensive measurement, the rankings are City A3, City A2, City A1, as shown in Fig.2.

        The results obtained can be used for investment priorities assignment in a practical manner. For example, it should urgently be concentrated on City A3, City A2, City A1, which are at the 3rd congestion level (slightly congested). These results can be useful for decision makers who are trying to find an optimal investment assignment.

        Fig.2 Ranking results of the measure cities’ traffic congestion

        4 Conclusion

        In this paper, the degree of urban traffic congestion is divided into five levels. The measure model of urban traffic congestion is constructed by the value function. This comprehensive measure method can overcome the defects of single index measure, and can reflect the congestion conditions much more scientifically, so it will have a broad application prospect in urban transportation management. Thus, the measurement model is of great theoretical and practical significance to research urban traffic congestion.

        [1]Zheng Zuduo. Recent developments and research needs in modeling lane changing[J].TransportationResearchPartB, 2014,60:16-32.

        [2]XinYumei, Ruan Rujiang. The discussion of urban traffic congestion problem[J].AppliedMathematics, 2007,20(1):31-36.(in Chinese)

        [3]Kurzhanskiy A A, Varaiya P. Guaranteed prediction and estimation of the state of a road network[J].TransportationResearchPartC, 2012, 21(1):163-180.

        [4]Zhu Yin, Lu Huapu, Liu Qiang. Research on the automatic detection algorithm of the early-warning system of the urban traffic incident[J].HighwayTrafficScienceandTechnology, 2004, 21(10):85-88.(in Chinese)

        [5]Lou Yingyan, Yin Yafeng, Lawphongpanich S. Robust congestion pricing under boundedly rational user equilibrium [J].TransportationResearchPartB, 2010, 44(1):15-28.

        [6]Liu H X, Wu Xinkai, Ma Wenteng, et al. Real-time queue length estimation for congested signalized intersections [J].TransportationResearchPartC, 2009, 17(4):412-427.

        [7]Sung T K, Chang N, Lee G. Dynamics of modeling in data mining: interpretive approach to bankruptcy prediction [J].JournalofManagementInformationSystems, 1999, 16(1):63-85.

        [8]Shao Jie, He Bin. The causes and countermeasure analysis of Beijing road traffic congestion [J].RoadTrafficandSecurity, 2008, 8(1):39-44.(in Chinese)

        [9]Hwang C L.Groupdecisionmakingstructures[M]. New York: Physica-Verlag,1994.

        [10]Jabari S E, Liu H X. A stochastic model of traffic flow: Gaussian approximation and estimation[J].TransportationResearchPartB, 2013, 47:15-41.

        [11] Schmidt-Daffy M. Fear and anxiety while driving: differential impact of task demands, speed and motivation[J].TransportationResearchPartF, 2013, 16(1):14-28.

        [12]Bagdadi O. Assessing safety critical braking events in naturalistic driving studies[J].TransportationResearchPartF, 2013, 16(1):117-126.

        基于價值函數(shù)的城市路網(wǎng)交通擁堵態(tài)勢測定模型

        胡啟洲1鄧 衛(wèi)2孫 煦3

        (1南京理工大學自動化學院,南京210094)

        (2東南大學交通學院,南京210096)

        (3清華大學交通研究所,北京100084)

        根據(jù)交通擁堵在時間和空間上的分布特性,建立基于價值函數(shù)的城市路網(wǎng)交通擁堵的測定指標體系. 在分析交通擁堵的主要特征和交通擁堵生成過程的基礎上,利用價值函數(shù)構(gòu)建城市路網(wǎng)交通擁堵的測定模型, 并在城市路網(wǎng)交通擁堵測定值等級界定的基礎上,設計交通擁堵預防和控制手段.利用各態(tài)勢的綜合測定排序指數(shù),對各態(tài)勢進行排序和分類研究.應用結(jié)果表明,所提方法的測定結(jié)果與其他方法的測定結(jié)果一致,能夠較好地反映實際情況,且該方法計算科學、過程簡單、易于實施,具有廣泛的應用前景和實用價值.

        城市交通;擁堵;測定矩陣;價值函數(shù)

        U294

        Foundation item:The National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.51178157).

        :Hu Qizhou, Deng Wei, Sun Xu. The comprehensive measure model for urban traffic congestion based on value function[J].Journal of Southeast University (English Edition),2015,31(2):272-275.

        10.3969/j.issn.1003-7985.2015.02.020

        10.3969/j.issn.1003-7985.2015.02.020

        Received 2014-10-22.

        Biography:Hu Qizhou(1975—),male, doctor,associate professor, qizhouhu@163.com.

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