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        老哈河流域朝陽境內(nèi)降雨特性分析

        2016-08-10 07:46:46潘雪松
        東北水利水電 2016年7期
        關(guān)鍵詞:降雨特性分析

        潘雪松

        (遼寧省朝陽水文局,遼寧朝陽122000)

        ?

        老哈河流域朝陽境內(nèi)降雨特性分析

        潘雪松

        (遼寧省朝陽水文局,遼寧朝陽122000)

        [摘 要]選取朝陽地區(qū)老哈河流域上4個(gè)常年觀測(cè)的雨量站1983—2014年的降雨資料進(jìn)行數(shù)據(jù)統(tǒng)計(jì),分析流域降雨的空間分布特點(diǎn)、年內(nèi)年際變化規(guī)律及近年來變化特征,為該地區(qū)的工農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展和水資源的合理開發(fā)利用及防洪抗旱提供數(shù)據(jù)支持。

        [關(guān)鍵詞]老哈河;降雨;特性;分析

        1 概 況

        老哈河是西遼河上游的一個(gè)重要支流,它發(fā)源于河北省平泉縣的七老圖山脈光頭山。由發(fā)源地向東北流,經(jīng)內(nèi)蒙古自治區(qū)寧城縣天義鎮(zhèn)西北,在四家子穿錦赤鐵路大橋后,向北綿延,經(jīng)過建平縣的8個(gè)鄉(xiāng)鎮(zhèn),然后調(diào)頭東北,在內(nèi)蒙古自治區(qū)赤峰市的大興農(nóng)場(chǎng)海大吐附近與西拉木倫河交匯,形成西遼河。在建平縣哈拉道口鎮(zhèn)流出朝陽轄區(qū),老哈河在朝陽境內(nèi)的流域面積為3 494 km2,占朝陽市面積的17.8%,朝陽境內(nèi)河長(zhǎng)100 km。100 km2以上的河流有12條,較大的支流有蹦河、海棠河、三家河、黑水河和四漢城河。

        老哈河流域?qū)贉貛О霛駶?rùn)季風(fēng)性氣候區(qū),四季分明,春季少雨多風(fēng),夏季高溫多雨,秋季天高氣爽,冬季寒冷干燥。多年平均降水量為429.3 mm,年內(nèi)分配極不均勻,主要集中在7—8月,時(shí)空降水量分布不均,多為短歷時(shí)局部暴雨,大暴雨歷時(shí)一般為1~2 d,最短的僅幾個(gè)小時(shí)到十幾個(gè)小時(shí),形成暴雨的天氣系統(tǒng)主要是華北氣旋、臺(tái)風(fēng)及低壓冷風(fēng)。

        建平縣北部因地勢(shì)高,又處于努魯爾虎山脈西北部坡地,年平均氣溫為5.5℃。

        2 數(shù)據(jù)的選取及采用的分析方法

        在老哈河流域建有沙海、白家洼、白山水庫、小五家、房身、馬廠、燒鍋營(yíng)子等多處雨量站,從常年觀測(cè)的站中選取沙海、白山水庫、房身、燒鍋營(yíng)子4個(gè)站1983—2014年共32年的各月降雨數(shù)據(jù)作為基礎(chǔ),計(jì)算出每個(gè)站的月平均、年平均及流域多年平均降雨量,然后按流域的上、中、下游對(duì)相同時(shí)段的降雨資料進(jìn)行年內(nèi)、年際及整個(gè)流域降水的變化特征進(jìn)行比較分析。

        2.1流域年內(nèi)降雨量分配

        根據(jù)各站的實(shí)測(cè)資料,繪制多年平均降水量在各月的分布情況圖(圖1)。

        圖1 降雨年內(nèi)分配圖

        從圖1中可以得到:該流域多年平均年降雨量為421.2 mm,而5—8月的降雨量就達(dá)到了319.5 mm,占全年降雨量的75.9%;1—4月份的降雨量為30.6 mm,僅占全年降雨量的7.3%;9—12月的降水量為71.1 mm,占全年降雨量的16.8%。降雨主要集中在6—8月,年內(nèi)降雨呈單峰型分布。而3—5月的降雨量是10—12月的2.3倍,這主要是由于朝陽地區(qū)的冬季降雪較少,土壤墑情較差,為保證春耕氣象部門在春季播種時(shí)常常進(jìn)行人工增雨造成的。

        2.2上、中、下游降雨特征分析

        根據(jù)所選雨量站的地理位置不同把4個(gè)雨量站分為上、中、下游。其中沙海位于上游,白山水庫、房身位于中游,燒鍋營(yíng)子位于下游。根據(jù)實(shí)測(cè)資料繪制流域上中下游降雨量對(duì)照?qǐng)D(圖2)。

        圖2 上、中、下游降雨量對(duì)照?qǐng)D

        分析圖2可知,由于這些雨量站同處一個(gè)流域,降雨量的變化趨勢(shì)基本一致,多年平均降雨量上游439.5 mm,中游413.5 mm,下游418.7 mm,上中下游差別不大。同時(shí)降雨極大值與較小值都出在上游,說明上游雨量變化的幅度大于中下游,而中游降雨的變化幅度最小。

        2.3多年平均降雨量變化分析

        計(jì)算出各站多年平均降雨量,繪制降雨量年際分布變化圖(圖3)。

        圖3 年平均降雨量分布圖

        老哈河流域朝陽境內(nèi)的降雨量周期變化明顯,高峰和低谷突出,但周期的長(zhǎng)短不一,大致5—8年為一個(gè)周期 。流域多年平均降雨量為421.2 mm,最大值出現(xiàn)在1994年,為612.2 mm,最小的值出現(xiàn)在2000年,為284.7 mm。降雨量年際分布具有不均勻性,變化較大,極值比為2.15,2000年以后的變化幅度比2000年以前有所減小。

        在降雨量累積距平曲線圖(圖4)中,上升表示雨量增加,下降表示雨量減少。曲線的強(qiáng)度反映水量的豐枯強(qiáng)度。從圖4中可以看出,流域的降雨量總體的變化趨勢(shì)是少-多-少。整個(gè)曲線呈明顯的單峰型,1994年之前降雨量基本上是在逐年增加,只在1988和1989兩年間有所減少,但減少的幅度不大,之后又連續(xù)多年上升,到1994年達(dá)到峰值,為32年中的最大值;峰值過后雨量逐年遞減至今,近22年以來只有4年雨量稍有增加且增量很小。

        圖4 降雨量累積距平曲線圖

        3 結(jié)語

        對(duì)老哈河流域朝陽境內(nèi)的降雨特征進(jìn)行分析,了解該流域降雨量上游大于中下游,而中游雨量變化幅度最小、降雨量變化5~8年為一個(gè)周期、年內(nèi)降雨集中在6—8月間等特點(diǎn),可以為老哈河流域朝陽地區(qū)的工業(yè)生產(chǎn),農(nóng)村耕種的農(nóng)事安排、水情預(yù)報(bào),防汛抗旱及水資源的合理利用分配開發(fā)以及為地下水資源的長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn)規(guī)劃提供合理、可靠的理論依據(jù),為朝陽地區(qū)的發(fā)展和科學(xué)管理提供有力的技術(shù)支持。

        [參考文獻(xiàn)]

        [1]王文.朝陽市近60年降水變化特性分析[J].吉林水利,2012(4).

        [2]朝陽市水資源[M].沈陽:遼寧大學(xué)出版社,2008,12.

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        [Key words]large opening well;flood;protection;water diversion project;mountain area

        [Abstract]Based on the practical application of needle beam steelmould trolley in construction of the circular pressure tunnel concrete lining for some a project,the paper expoundssystematically the structural principle of the needle beam steelmould trolley,summarizes and analyzes the advantages of the fast formwork support location,the convenient concrete pouring and vibrating and the good presentation quality of shaped concrete,statisticsand analyzes the specific actual construction condition,which cou ld provide some experience for the sim ilar projects.

        [Key words]tunnelproject;whole circle section;needle beam trolley;lining;concrete

        [Abstract]The paper presents the calculation distortion problem of the dam body settlement in the simulation of the layered filling process of earth-rock dam construction.The production causes of calculation distortion are discovered by analyzing the calculation mechanization of ANSYS so ftware.The paper proposes the two calculation methods to solve effectively the vertical deformation distortion problemsduring construction period.

        [Key words]earth-rock dam;deformation calculation;finite element;ANSYSsoftware;distortion

        [Abstract]Thewetted perimetermethod isadopted to estimate them inimum ecologicalwater demand of Bayinhe river.Selecting the Delingha hydrological station of Bayinhe River as a control section,the wetted perimeter and flow relation is fitted by using the logarithm function and power function relation.Based on the established relationship curve between the wetted perimeter of river section and flow,by the position of the change point could be determ ined,then the recomm ended value of the m inimum eco logical water dem and are estimated.The m inimum ecologicalwater demand of the Delingha section of Bayinhe river are quantitatively estimated by using the slope equaling 1method and themaximal curvaturemethod.

        [Key words]wetted perimeter method;Bayinhe river;m inimum ecological water demand;slope equaling 1 method;maximal curvaturemethod

        [Abstract]According to the runoff characteristicsand in-stream and out-stream water demand of the Nenjiang R iver and Songhuajiang R iver basins,the control conditions are initially identified about flood diversion of the river-lake connection water supply project of the comprehensive utilization of rainfall and flood resources in western Jilin Province.Based on the water demand of wetlands and flow capacity of current projects,the flood diversion process is put forward.The flood diversion impact of the project is finally analyzed from the fo llow ing three aspects,the impact on in-stream users,the impact on out-stream usersand the impact on the downstream hydrological regime.

        [Key words]western Jilin province;flood;impact;resourcescomprehensive utilization

        [Abstract]The dynam ic triaxial test is adopted to research the dynam ic characteristics of asphalt concrete core wallof face rockfilldam.The resultsshow that themaximum dynam icmodulus(Edmax)and themaximum shear modulus(Gdmax)are changing w ith the Kc development.The damping ratio of asphalt concrete is 0.15,under the different confining pressure and 17℃ test conditions,the dynam ic strain produced w ithin 100 times vibration isvery small(less than 0.1%)when applied the large dynam ic stress for the asphalt concrete,there is no dynam ic strength failure problems for the asphalt concrete.

        [Key words]asphalt concrete core wall;dynam ic characteristics;damping ratio;dynam ic elasticm odulus

        [Abstract]The weighted Markov chain model is using to predict the reservoir sediment concentration. Combined w ith the reservoir inflow sediment concentration measured data,the paper analyzes the prediction accuracy of reservoir sediment concentration by using the weighted Markov chain mode.The results show that,the weighted M arkov chain m odel is suitable for the prediction of reservoir sediment concentration,the relative error between the predicted valuesand measured values at the annual scale is 14.47%~19.25%,the process fitting coefficient is above 0.7,the relative error at the hour scale isbelow 15%,the process fitting coefficient can reach 0.65 ormore,the prediction accuracy couldmeet the requirementsof the reservoir inflow sediment concentration prediction standard.The research results can provide the reference value for the prediction method of reservoir sediment concentration.

        [Key words]weighted Markov chain model;sediment concentration prediction;model applicability analysis;reservoir

        [中圖分類號(hào)]TV125;P332.1

        [文獻(xiàn)標(biāo)識(shí)碼]B

        [文章編號(hào)]1002—0624(2016)07—0040—01

        [收稿日期]2016-01-23

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        [Key words]ash dam;stability against sliding;Monte Carlomethod;simplified Bishopmethod;Reliability analysis

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        XU Guang-yuan,MUWan-peng,HOU Fu-jiang,MA Hai-long

        App lication of weighted M arkov chain model in the prediction of reservoir sediment concentration

        YU Xiu-feng,YU Bao-hui

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