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        Identi fi cation of Forcing Mechanisms of Convective Initiation over Mountains through High-Resolution Numerical Simulations

        2016-03-17 10:09:01ZuohaoCAOandHuaqingCAIEnvironmentandClimateChangeCanadaTorontoOntarioCanada
        Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 2016年10期

        Zuohao CAOand Huaqing CAIEnvironment and Climate Change Canada,Toronto,Ontario,Canada

        2U.S.Army Research Laboratory,White Sands Missile Range,New Mexico,USA

        ·News&Views·

        Identi fi cation of Forcing Mechanisms of Convective Initiation over Mountains through High-Resolution Numerical Simulations

        Zuohao CAO*1and Huaqing CAI2
        1Environment and Climate Change Canada,Toronto,Ontario,Canada

        2U.S.Army Research Laboratory,White Sands Missile Range,New Mexico,USA

        Convection and its ensuing severe weather,such as heavy rainfall,hail,tornado,and high wind,have signi fi cant impacts on our society and economy(e.g.,Cao et al.,2004;Fritsch and Carbone,2004;Verbout et al.,2006;Ashley and Black,2008;Cao,2008;Cao and Ma,2009;Zhang et al.,2014).Due to its localized and transient nature,the initiation of convection or convective initiation remains one of the least understood aspects of convection in the scienti fi c communities,and it is a signi fi cant challenge to accurately predict the exact timing and location of convective initiation(e.g.,Cai et al.,2006;Wilson and Roberts,2006;Xue and Martin,2006;Cao and Zhang,2016).

        Convective initiation can be attributed to various forcing mechanisms,including,but not limited to,upper-level forcing,boundary-layer forcing,and a combination of them(e.g.,Bennett et al.,2006;Lopez,2007;Marsham et al.,2011). For surface-based convective initiation,boundary-layer forcing often determines the precise location where convection is triggered within large areas of potential instability(e.g.,Pielke,2001).The most common boundary-layer triggering mechanisms include surface fronts,drylines,gust fronts,sea/lake land breezes,orographic circulations,and boundary layer horizontal convective rolls.In addition,inhomogeneity in land surface characteristics can also produce suf fi cient vertical motion to force convection,particularly under strong surface heating conditions(Trier et al.,2004).

        Various possible mechanisms for convective initiation are generally recognized,but the exact forcings responsible for a speci fi c case are often dif fi cult to ascertain,especially when multiple physical processes and their interactions are involved.

        In this issue(Page 1120—1136),Wang et al.(2016)devote themselves to the understanding of the physical mechanisms responsible for convective initiation over the Dabie Mountains located in eastern China.By performing numerical simulations and sensitivity experiments for a real case associated with weak synoptic fl ows of Meiyu front,the authors analyze the physical processes that create nearsurface convergence and lead to initiation of convection over thiscomplexmesoscalemountain.Theiranalysesrevealthree mountain-related processes that are responsible for the nearsurface convergence forcing and subsequent convective initiation over the Dabie Mountains:(1)thermally-driven upslope winds that converge over the mountain ridge and peaks,(2)dynamically-driven fl ows around the mountain peaks and their convergence on the lee side of the peaks,and(3)valleyenhanced upslope winds(due to thermal and dynamic channeling effects)generating additional convergence between the mountain peaks.Furthermore,they examine the interactions among thermally-driven winds,the dynamically-driven fl ows,and the mountains,which contribute to the development of convective clouds and precipitation.This study provides clear,new insights on the convective initiation processes over the Dabie Mountain region,which is known to be a source of many precipitation systems in eastern China.

        In recent years,the international meteorological communities have made substantial efforts in conducting fi eld campaigns to help improve the understanding of convective initiation and quantitative precipitation forecast(QPF)(e.g.,Weckwerth and Parsons,2006;Browning et al.,2007;Wulfmeyer et al.,2008;Weckwerth et al.,2015).Different from fi eld campaigns,the numerical simulation experiments carried out by Wang et al.(2016)are relatively inexpensive and fl exible for examining physical mechanisms of convective initiation.The conceptual model based on their numerical simulations,which serves as a nice summary of theirmajor fi ndings,helpsbetterunderstandthecomplexprocesses involved in the convection initiation in a mountainous region.Certainly,their work can be further extended to assess nonlinear interactions among the thermally-driven fl ows,dynamically-driven winds,the mountains,and synoptic environments(e.g.,Meiyu front)through more sophisticated numerical experiments(e.g.,Stein and Alpert,1993;Cao,2006).It is anticipated that in the future model simulation experiments may provide even more useful information for understanding convective initiation in mountainous areas,and may help improve the prediction skills of QPF through better treatment of physical processes in numerical models.

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        Bennett,L.J.,K.A.Browning,A.M.Blyth,D.J.Parker,and P.A. Clark,2006:A review of the initiation of precipitating convection in the United Kingdom.Quart.J.Roy.Meteor.Soc.,132,1001—1020.

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        Wang,Q.W.,M.Xue,and Z.M.Tan,2016:Convective initiation by topographically induced convergence forcing over the Dabie Mountains on 24 June 2010.Adv.Atmos.Sci.,33(10),doi:10.1007/s00376-016-6024-z.

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        Zhang,D.-L.,Z.H.Cao,J.M.Ma,and A.M.Wu,2014:Summer nonconvective severe wind frequency over Ontario and its correlation with tropical Paci fi c sea surface temperature.Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology,53,1170—1182.

        :Cao,Z.H.,and H.Q.Cai,2016:Identi fi cation of forcing mechanisms of convective initiation over mountains through high-resolution numerical simulations.Adv.Atmos.Sci.,33(10),1104—1105,

        10.1007/ s00376-016-6198-4.

        *Corresponding author:Zuohao CAO

        Email:zuohao.cao@canada.ca

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